There are many ways to gauge the health of a Major League organization, including payroll and farm system. One other is to take the temperature of the current 25-man roster in terms of how long each player is under contract and how many aren’t yet threatening to earn real money that could rob flexibility from the team’s payroll.

Consider where the most win value is coming from when perusing the table below. The Mariners are getting amazing value out of Marco Gonzales, James Paxton, Edwin Diaz and Mitch Haniger, for example, and control their core younger players for at least two years after 2018, but aren’t tied to many players beyond 2020 (Only Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager and Jean Segura have guarantees as deep as 2021).

For context, here are the club’s salary commitments for the next five years (options may alter figures below):

2019: $126.06m
2020: $83.6m
2021: $63.35m
2022: $38.85m
2023: $25.0m



*option for following season

0-3: Following the 2018 season, is the player still in 0-3 mode, which means pre-arbitration?

OWED: Guaranteed dollars on current contract
C: Club-controlled contract, pre-arbitration
ARB1: 1st-year arbitration eligible after 2018
ARB2: 2nd-year rbitration eligible after 2018
ARB3: 3rd-year arbitration eligible after 2018

POS PLAYER CONTROL 0-3? OWED
RHP Felix Hernandez 2019* NO $27.86m
RHP James Paxton 2020 NO ARB3
LHP Mike Leake 2020* NO $28m
LHP Marco Gonzales 2023 YES C
LHP Wade LeBalnc 2019* NO $2.75m
POS PLAYER CONTROL 0-3? OWED
RHP Edwin Diaz 2022 YES C
RHP Alex Colome 2020 NO ARB2
RHP Juan Nicasio 2019 NO $9.25m
LHP James Pazos 2022 YES C
LHP Roenis Elias 2021 NO C
RHP Chasen Bradford 2023 YES C
RHP Nick Vincent 2019 NO ARB3
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POS PLAYER CONTROL 0-3? OWED
C Mike Zunino 2020 NO ARB2
C Chris Hermann 2019 NO ARB3
POS PLAYER CONTROL 0-3? OWED
1B Ryon Healy 2022 YES C
2B Dee Gordon 2020* NO $28.1m
2B Robinson Cano 2023 NO $120m
3B Kyle Seager 2021 NO $57.5m
SS Jean Segura 2022* NO $60.4m
UT Andrew Romine 2018 NO FA
POS PLAYER CONTROL 0-3? OWED
OF Guillermo Heredia 2022 YES C
OF Ben Gamel 2022 YES C
OF Mitch Haniger 2022 YES C
OF Denard Span 2018* NO $4m
DH Nelson Cruz 2018 NO FA

Jason A. Churchill

Churchill founded Prospect Insider in 2006 after getting his start at InsidethePark.com. He spent several years covering prep, college and pro sports for various newspapers, including The News Tribune and Seattle PI.

Jason spent 4 1/2 years at ESPN and two years at CBS Radio prior to joining HERO Sports in July, 2016.

Find Jason's Mariners podcast, Baseball Things, right here and follow him on Twitter @ProspectInsider.