RANKINGS: Latest Top 40 Prospects Update | MLB: UPDATED 2020 Draft Order

The San Francisco Giants have reportedly re-inked starting pitcher Tim Lincecum to a two-year, $35 million pact.

While the length of the deal is short, I’d still rather not take on that much salary for such risk. While Lincecum continued to miss bats this year, there were enough red flags to keep me from wanting the Seattle Mariners to take a stab. Perhaps, as more details come out, it will turn out that the $35 million figure includes incentives. Maybe the final year is a vesting option or something.

I still find it hard to see the M’s throwing that much cash at a maybe-he-is, maybe-he-isn’t broken pitcher, regardless of the hometown ties. I just can’t envision Tiny Tim bouncing back to post the needed value (roughly 3.4 fWAR per season) to make that contract break even. There’s little to no chance it becomes a bargain.

I do still believe the club should add at least one or two veteran starters to their staff for 2014, though, so it’ll be interesting to see which direction they go. You can pencil in rookies James Paxton and Tajiuan Walker for spring auditions, but you certainly can’t use regular-season-colored ink yet. Besides, one or both — much more likely Paxton — could end up as trade bait this off-season.

Behind Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma, there are far too many question marks to count on the kids. Some stability in the middle of the rotation is needed. That’s why I never thought Lincecum was a great fit to begin with. As a number five, on the cheap? Sure, take a chance. As someone you need to count on for $17.5 million per? Absolutely pass.

The list of available starting pitching on the open market is pretty thin, and just got thinner. So the M’s may opt to go the trade route, or get in on the posting for Japanese right-hander Masahiro Tanaka. Though, the latter may come at a rather lofty sum and — after the passing of majority owner Hiroshi Yamauchi — might not be pushed in the way that previous Japanese stars were.


  1. Tim Lincecum posted a 4.32 ERA in September while striking out just seven men per nine innings and had a 4.54 mark in the 13 starts following his no-hitter in July. Sabean must have worn his crazy pants to work.

    Yamauchi’s son in law is still on the Mariners board of directors and probably aware Tanaka has made it into the Japan Series by coming out of the bullpen to clinch the deciding game. He’s now won 25 and lost 0 this season. Nothing could make a stronger statement to M’s fans than for them to outbid the Yankees for him.

  2. I am expecting a lot of these types of signings this winter. There is more money in the system but the talent is still scarce. So, those that are out there are going to get some outrageous deals.

  3. The Giants seem to be setting the bar for the free agency market without bidding on a free agent.

  4. Granderson could cost 4-5 years at 65-80 Mill. He will get a qualifying offer from the Yankees. Could the M’s do a total revamp of the OF and sign one of these two Ellsbury or Choo. Then sign Granderson and post the fee for Itoi? Would be a huge splash, but would it be worth it? Itoi seems the most realistic to me.

  5. Thoughts on the team signing Curtis Granderson? The team needs a couple outfielders and because he was injured last year maybe they can get him for a reasonable price. I know Jack tried to trade for him back when the Yankees got him from Detroit…

  6. Tanaka looks so good right now, would Seattle be willing to outbid the Yankees for the right to try to sign him? Prediction on what his posting fee will be? I have never understood why a team just doesn’t blind bid 200 million as a posting fee, and then make no effort to sign him, just to keep a team like the Yankees from having him. If he doesn’t sign, you don’t have to pay the 200 million posting fee and there is no penalty. Only the Yankees get screwed…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.