No. 11 — Luiz Gohara, LHP
Acquired: Free Agent, 2012 — Brazil
Bats/Throws Ht./Wt. DOB 2015 Level
L/L 6-3/240 7.31.96 A

The 6-foot-3 Gohara,19, has the biggest upside of any player above him; ace potential based on stuff. The problem, however, is a big one: Gohara has not been in good shape two years in a row. He’s naturally a big guy — was well over 200 pounds at age 16 — but ballooned to 250-270 pounds and could not repeat his delivery both years in Everett. This has led to a lack of any real progress in his development; the fastball command still is well below average, the breaking ball flattens out because he gets under the ball too much, too often and the changeup barely registers on the 20-80 scale most of the time.

On the surface, it simply appears Gohara has yet to learn to work. Sound familiar? It’s probably going to always be a battle for him to stay well-conditioned, but it’s necessary and he’s not off to a good start. He doesn’t lack athleticism, but the extra weight clearly affects his attempts to find a consistent release point and he’s constantly standing too tall at release and stiff throughout, which creates a poor finish to his pitches. This is when the velocity drops to 91-93, rather than the easy 94-97 he’s shown in the past.

The raw setting shows a 92-97 mph fastball with downward plane and late life, a 79-84 mph slider with late break and some depth. He was considered a mature 16-17-18 year old but that isn’t showing up in his training and until it does he’s an absurdly high-risk talent that will go to waste. It’s nut put-up or shutup time just yet, but despite being just 19, that time’s coming and the new regime may not want to show patience beyond 2016.

55/65 40/55 30/45 35/45 40/45

More from Prospect Insider