| By Jason A. Churchill | ![]() | By 11-23-2008 |
Every offseason we read the plans of everyone with a keyboard on how the Seattle Mariners should go about their business during the winter months that lead into Spring Training and the new season ahead.
| 1. By: acqb1424 on 11-23-2008 19:20:45 I really like the idea of trying to add Sheets, Kelly or Donald and Nelson. Even though it is purely speculative, what do you think it would take to pry the three minor leaguers away? I'm guessing we'd have to give up a bullpen arm for Nelson, but what about Donald and/or Kelly? Would something like Sean Green for Nelson work? |
| 2. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-23-2008 19:22:48 The Brewers are going to ask for pitching in general - starters and relievers, in every trade they consider this winter. I would not imagine Green would be enough to snag Nelson, not by himself. |
| 3. By: stickball on 11-23-2008 19:48:38 Jason, Excellent story! What do you think about Milton Bradley? |
| 4. By: Replacement Level Blogger on 11-23-2008 21:09:22 I would prefer the M's to just stick to picking up relievers as reclamation projects. Churchill's right about getting great value at the deadline for bullpen arms and they usually dont cost too much. The idea of Ben Sheets is kinda risky though. He's type A so the M's lose their 2nd rd. pick. He also has a long history of injuries and will be paid a good amount. If he gets injured again the M's could see his value drop like Bedard's. He seems like an unnecessary extravagance to me. Baldelli sharing time with Reed in center seems like the most obvious choice available. Reed is capable in short stints and Baldelli will need time off. He would be a great value pickup. Abreu would fill a definite need as a leader and solid hitter but I would think his contract demands (length and amount) could price him out of range for the M's. He is a type A FA and doesn't add that much over Ibanez, so that begs the question, why sign Abreu and lose a pick rather than keep Ibanez? It's not like Abreu will be around when the M's start winning again anyways. btw, it's great to have PI back! Thank you Mr. Churchill! |
| 5. By: Jerry on 11-23-2008 21:31:01 I agree with Stickball: what about Milton Bradley? He would make a great addition. Plus, the guy just wants some stability, and is looking to stay with the same team for a few years after bouncing around a lot. If the M's could get him for 3yrs/30mil or so, that would be a great addition. He gives you nearly everything Abreu can offer, but is younger, more undervalued, and won't cost a draft pick. He would make a nice addition. Beyond that, the M's should be looking to trade away vets and get back as much talent as possible. Then fill holes with guys like Baldelli, Crede, Adam Everett, Bobby Crosby (who could get released), etc. Jason is right that it is tough to rosterbate about this offseason, since so much depends on what trade the M's make and how far they want to go with the rebuild. I hope they actively shop Beltre, Ichiro, Washburn, Putz, and Betancourt, and listen to offers on anyone. This could be an interesting offseason. |
| 6. By: Blowgun7 on 11-23-2008 22:21:34 I'll stick with my cheap and short term signings of Baldelli, Giambi, and Griffey.. Yes Griffey has no ability to play the field and is worhtless vs lefties, but he can still hit right handed pitching.. Stick him at DH vs right handers.. Giambi, everyone seems to hate this idea, but me, probably cause he's a bad defensive 1B.. but what is the alternative at 1B right now? Swinging a deal for a guy like Nelson? Or Lahair? Nelson would be nice but i dont know what it would take to land him.. I'll take Giambi and his OBP skills, lefty swing at Safeco, even though his defense is BAD.. Baldelli is ideal to stick in CF for a platoon with Reed I like Milton Bradley too, but I would expect him to land a 3 yr deal, while the guys I mentioned can be had for 1-2 yrs |
| 7. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-23-2008 22:43:06 Griffey blocks Clement from DH'ing. No thanks. Bradley only makes sense if he's ultra cheap. There is no way he repeats his 08 numbers at the Safe, and his defense has slipped beyond center field. The cost, the player's volatility and the fit... none work in Seattle in 2009 or 2010. |
| 8. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-23-2008 23:01:59 Blow, What's the point of adding Giambi on a 1-year deal when he's awful at first base and is a huge health risk to begin with? Are you trying to win in 2009? |
| 9. By: Scrupio on 11-23-2008 23:23:11 Jason great write-up. What are your thoughts on bringing in Russell Branyan for maybe a platoon? He had a decent year last year and could be cheap. |
| 10. By: Blowgun7 on 11-23-2008 23:24:18 Well if Clement is going to feature at DH then of course we shouldnt sign Griffey.. but if Clement is going to catch 4 days a week and DH 2.. then Id look into Griffey to DH the other days.. Match it up so Griffey DHs vs righties.. and Clement vs lefties. As for Giambi.. no way am I contending in 2009, but at the same time I dont want to field a lineup of our bad upper level minor leaguers like LaHair.. even though we're not going to compete for postseason, I still want to be able to watch a game every now and then and see a lineup that isnt fitting of Tacoma.. You want to watch baseball that at least has professionals in there.. I dont know if i could bear to watch Lahair, Betancourt, Balentien, Reed comprise half the lineup I see James projects Giambi at .244/.388/.484 and Marcel projects .239/.363/.467 As for Griffey: .255/.351/.451 and .248/.336/.434 Not oustanding by any reach, but from an entertainment value Id rather watch these guys than the expected alternatives I know that signing Giambi does absolutely nothing to move the team in the direction of winning in 2010 and beyond.. but somebody has to play 1B |
| 11. By: JD Kickastro on 11-24-2008 01:54:38 JAC, I like the idea of trading for Weeks, especially since he could slide to CF if he can't stick at 2B. Do you think his bat plays well enough for 3B? IIRC it was Hardy that was rumored to be available, but I'd "settle" for Weeks. == Plugging some holes by acquiring young inexpensive talent sounds good to me. Any speculation on who the M's might take #2 for the Rule V? who would you pick? |
| 12. By: acqb1424 on 11-24-2008 08:34:48 Jason, aren't the Mariners picks protected because they are in the top 15? Is that just the first round pick, or all picks. If we sign a Type A free agent (not that I'm advocating that) would we lose our second round pick or would the other team just get a comp. pick? |
| 13. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-24-2008 11:27:31 Only the top 15 is protected. Re: Weeks, His bat barely plays at second right now, and even if he maxed out it doesn't profile at third well. Re: Rule 5 I would take Veal, hoping he'd be able to regain his mid-90s heat, if not in the rotation as a relief option. |
| 14. By: Walrus on 11-24-2008 12:51:38 Jason, Do you have any info on why the M's appear to be steering clear of Viciedo and Tazawa? If they are willing to kick the tires on some of these high priced FA's, then I would think these 2 imports would also fit in the mix. |
| 15. By: jonbbt on 11-24-2008 12:52:25 I want Seattle to take Veal as well. Here's a thought: If Kei Igawa is on the board for Seattle's second pick, should they take him? It couldn't hurt to just bring him into Spring Training and give him a look, could it? If he doesn't look good he is offered back and it costs Seattle very little. Jason, have you heard any scout-talk about why Igawa hasn't made it in America? |
| 16. By: JD Kickastro on 11-24-2008 12:55:22 The M's have already made an offer to Tazawa. |
| 17. By: JD Kickastro on 11-24-2008 12:58:01 Also, to those who aren't aware, PI now has a Facebook Group: http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=37528372371&ref=mf#/group.php?gid=37528372371&ref=mf |
| 18. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-24-2008 14:23:05 Viciedo inked a deal with the White Sox already. He got a ridiculous deal, the White Sox should be fined five bucks for it. Re: Igawa No, he's bad, makes money and makes no sense for Seattle because of both. His stuff was fringe-average and he's proven, with sub par command, that he's not a smart pitcher. |
| 19. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-24-2008 15:07:21 Sheets is a good risk as long as it's not a 4+ year deal, or three and 15 per or anything. |
| 20. By: Pumpkin on 11-24-2008 18:26:28 Hopefully the M's bad luck with the FA market up until now will change. In my opinion the only free agents we should be signing would be the ones that wouldn't make us lose any draft picks but have the potential either to be traded at the deadline or will net us comp picks in either the 2010 or 2011 drafts. |
| 21. By: Pumpkin on 11-24-2008 18:29:36 I still hate the fact that we drafted a RP in the first round last year, but I see how we might be able to benefit from signing him now. Although I thought I heard that there was an abundance of available closers this year is that true? And if so would it be hard for us to trade away two of them for good value? |
| 22. By: acqb1424 on 11-24-2008 20:41:52 Jason, do you think the Phillies would be interested in Beltre? They have an obvious whole at third base, and if they lose Pat Burrell they will need some right handed pop in their lineup to break up the lefties. Do you think the Phils would give up Donald and Carrasco for Beltre? Do you think that would be a decent return for him? |
| 23. By: Jason A. Churchill on 11-24-2008 21:15:57 Philly might have some level of interest, but they need outfielders more than a third baseman who will be a FA at season's end. I'm not sold that Carrasco is anything more than a No. 4 or a good reliever, though, so I wouldn't deal Beltre for those two. |
| 24. By: Snave on 11-25-2008 13:43:40 I think the only way I would want to see Seattle sign any free agents this off-season would be if it was for short-term deals on guys who could keep positions warm until prospects are ready to come to Seattle and take over. If the Mariners don't re-sign Raul Ibanez, I could see them finding someone to fill in at LF until someone like Halman or Saunders was ready to come up. A stop-gap signing of a first baseman might be o.k. if the idea is to have someone like Raben play 1B in a couple of years. The Mariners have some talent coming up, but maybe don't want to give their kids such a "trial by fire" if they can help it; I could see signing some FA "warm bodies" for 2009. Maybe better to let an "iffy" veteran bat .220 over a season than bring up someone who isn't ready so they can bat .180... ? Then again, if Zduriencik wants to make the team into a contender immediately, maybe there are other plans afoot, in which case I tend to agree with most of your "avoid"/"consider" list. I've always thought Baldelli was an intriguing player, and this year it looks like Crede might not be a bad option for a year or two if Beltre gets traded. It WOULD be a hoot to have RJ come back and get his 300th win in Seattle. Is Eric Hinske available, and would he be worth it for a year? Even with all that, I tend to hope Zduriencik is more interested in rebuilding the ballclub with youth... I don't really think a team that just lost 101 games has a need for a top-tier closer. If they can get a good prospect or two for Putz, or by including Putz in a deal, I'd say go for it. Any word on what's happening with Fields? Or are they just going to let him go? Seems they ought to be trying to get him signed if they are considering trading J.J. Beltre is still relatively young, and he is a talented player. Would it be a good move to trade him? I guess it might be, depending on what was offered in return. The idea of letting Raul Ibanez go is unpleasant to me, but a couple of draft picks might be more what the team should be looking at if a rebuild is going to happen. I like the idea of trying to acquire Jason Donald for SS or Brad Nelson for 1B. What about the Mets' 1B Mike Carp? Is Kansas City still interested in Betancourt? I heard/read a while back that they might trade Billy Butler to Seattle for Yuni. Is Donald ready to play in the majors? Seems like he might be a decent replacement for Betancourt at SS, or that drafting Green might also be a good move to strengthen the SS position. I love Hot Stove time, and easily become obsessed with it. I guess this helps the baseball season last all year round for me! How soon might we start seeing some trades? Will it start at the Winter Meetings, or maybe before then? |
| 25. By: Snave on 11-25-2008 13:44:39 Sorry about that last comment, I had it neatly divided into paragraphs, but it didn't come out looking that way. |
| 26. By: StandinPat on 11-25-2008 22:49:36 I've long thought Sheets was a great fit, esp now that he might be a relative bargain. I think the M's will have some money to spend this offseason, and should be looking either at stop-gaps, 1yr deals for guys coming off injury that they might be able to flip at the deadline, or players whose value will still be strong in 2010-2011 when I think the M's can realistically start making some noise. Guys like Izturis, Crede, Hinske, and Colon all make alot of sense for short term deals to me. |
| 27. By: littlelinny6 on 11-30-2008 19:10:31 Jason, is there much interest out there for Yuni?? It seems like the general consensus among the blogosphere is to sell Yuni while some teams still believe he has value. Given that the M's will be terrible next year and probably the year after, isn't worth it to trade him for some up the middle prospects or outfielders?? If so, who are a few possiblities? |
| ESPN MLB Draft Blog 2010 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Date | Post Link | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 8 | Four lead-off prospects | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 7 | SEC Plain Ol' Loaded | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 6 | Strengths and weaknesses | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 5 | Scouts to Cook: Pick Pitch | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 5 | Brantly flashes good bat, solid arm | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mar. 4 | Bama SS moving up in draft. | ||||||||||||||||||
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