|Pick||Team (Round No. 1)|
|No. 1||Houston Astros|
|No. 2||Miami Marlins|
|No. 3||Chicago White Sox|
|No. 4||Chicago Cubs|
|No. 5||Minnesota Twins|
|No. 6||Seattle Mariners|
|No. 7||Philadelphia Phillies|
|No. 8||Colorado Rockies|
|No. 9||Toronto Blue Jays|
|No. 10||New York Mets|
|No. 11||Toronto Blue Jays z (Bickford)|
|No. 12||Milwaukee Brewers|
|No. 13||San Diego Padres|
|No. 14||San Francisco Giants|
|No. 15||Los Angeles Angels|
|No. 16||Arizona Diamondbacks|
|No. 17||Baltimore Orioles|
|No. 18||Kansas City Royals|
|No. 19||Washington Nationals|
|No. 20||Cincinnati Reds|
|No. 21||Tampa Bay Rays|
|No. 22||Cleveland Indians|
|No. 23||Los Angeles Dodgers|
|No. 24||Detroit Tigers|
|No. 25||Pittsburgh Pirates|
|No. 26||Oakland Athletics|
|No. 27||Atlanta Braves|
|No. 28||Boston Red Sox|
|No. 29||St. Louis Cardinals|
|Pick||Team (Compensatory Round)|
|No. 30||Kansas City Royals* (Santana)|
|No. 31||Cincinnati Reds (Choo)|
|No. 32||Texas Rangers* (Cruz)|
|No. 33||Cleveland Indians* (Jimenez)|
|No. 34||Atlanta Braves (McCann)|
|No. 35||Boston Red Sox (Ellsbury)|
|No. 36||Miami Marlins z (Krook)|
|No. 37||Boston Red Sox* (Drew)|
|No. 38||St. Louis Cardinals (Beltran)|
|Pick||Team (Competitive Balance Round A)|
|No. 39||Colorado Rockies|
|No. 40||Houston Astros x (Orioles)|
|No. 41||Cleveland Indians|
|No. 42||Miami Marlins|
|No. 43||Kansas City Royals|
|No. 45||Milwaukee Brewers|
* Picks are contingent on player signing with another club
z Awarded for failure to sign a player from 2013 Draft
x Received via trade
Updated 2013 MLB Rule IV Draft Order (12/22/2013)
The 2014 draft order looks significantly different than it did when Koji Uehara stuck out Matt Carpenter to conclude the 2013 Major League Baseball season. So far eight of the thirteen players who refused qualifying offers, and thus are tied to draft pick compensation, have signed a contract. Most recently Shin-Soo Choo officially agreed to terms with the Texas Rangers on a seven-year deal. As a consolation prize, the Reds will receive a compensatory draft pick following Round No.1. The Cardinals, Red Sox, and Braves have also been awarded additional draft picks. The Rangers joined the Yankees as just the second club willing to sacrifice their No. 1 pick in order to sign a free agent.
It is important to note that the 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement altered the rules of the draft pick compensation system. Teams no longer receive a pick from the other club that signed their player, but instead just receive a pick after the conclusion of Round No. 1. A team that signs a player that requires compensations will be forced to yield their first unprotected pick, even if that is another compensation pick that they may have received. If you need to freshen up on the system, you can read about it here.
Their are five player currently on the market who are tied to compensation: Kendrys Morales, Nelson Cruz, Ubaldo Jimenez, Stephen Drew, and Ervin Santana. All of their respective teams could potentially receive a compensatory pick after the conclusion of Round No. 1 with the exception of the Mariners, who will definitely be forced to forfeit their first unprotected pick because they signed Robinson Cano. Since the No. 6 overall pick is protected, this will either be their pick in Round No.2 if they retain Morales, or their compensation pick if he goes elsewhere. The order above reflects a scenario that is contingent with these remaining players signing a contract with a new team. The order is certainly not set in stone, and the draft landscape should continue to evolve in the coming months.
Heading into the free agency period, both the Red Sox and Yankees were each in position to potentially collect three compensation picks. The two clubs took completely different approaches. The Yankees signed Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran, and Jacoby Ellsbury and brought back Hiroki Kuroda. In exchange for this tremendous influx of talent, they consequentially lost their No. 1 pick as well as the compensation picks they received for Robinson Cano and Curtis Granderson. In contrast, Boston has placed a higher emphasis on retaining these picks. Although they did resign first baseman Mike Napoli, they refrained from signing any other free agents tied to compensation. They currently stand to receive two compensation picks to go with their No. 1 pick, giving them three picks before the Competitive Balance Round. If they chose to bring back Stephen Drew, which seems unlikely given their recent acquisition of Jonathan Herrera, they would lose one of those picks. With that said, Drew’s market appears to have soured lately, and they might be able to reach a bargain with him that is too tempting to pass up.
Interestingly, this system appears to favor teams that are presently successful. The three top teams in baseball last year have all received an extra draft pick. A Reds team that won 90 games last year also added a pick. In all, the four teams that currently possess a compensation pick had a combined winning percentage of .586. Meanwhile, teams that missed out on the playoffs, like the Mariners and Yankees, have been forced to forfeit picks as a result of their rebuilding efforts. Whether this is intentional or merely a coincidence, it does seem counter-intuitive.
Teams that are fortunate enough to receive these additional picks will find them extremely benevolent come June. This draft is especially loaded in high school arms, and traditionally players of that variety tend to fly off the board during this part of the draft. Additionally, with the new the new CBA more picks equals more money to play with. Additional bonus money can allow teams to be more flexible with their draft approach. Even if a team doesn’t love a particular player available at the compensation pick they might have received, they can reallocate that bonus money to somewhere else in the draft where they may have to go over slot to get a guy.
Clearly this system has had a profound effect on the market. All of though top guys are pretty much off the market, while clubs seam more hesitant about the lower tier free agents, i.e. Morales, Drew, and Jimenez a deal. It is likely that these players might have to wait until much later in the winter, possibly even until the beginning of Spring Training until a team caves in. After all, this is what happened to players like Kyle Lohse and Michael Bourn last offseason. It has even been suggested that players like Drew might be better of waiting until after the draft to sign a contract, thus avoiding the compensation attached to them. While this is probably unlikely, it speaks to volume of importance that draft pick compensation plays in affecting a player’s value.