Updated MLB Draft Order (1/4/2014)

PickTeam (Round No. 1)
No. 1Houston Astros
No. 2Miami Marlins
No. 3Chicago White Sox
No. 4Chicago Cubs
No. 5Minnesota Twins
No. 6Seattle Mariners
No. 7Philadelphia Phillies
No. 8Colorado Rockies
No. 9Toronto Blue Jays
No. 10New York Mets
No. 11Toronto Blue Jays z (Bickford)
No. 12Milwaukee Brewers
No. 13San Diego Padres
No. 14San Francisco Giants
No. 15Los Angeles Angels
No. 16Arizona Diamondbacks
No. 17Baltimore Orioles
No. 18Kansas City Royals
No. 19Washington Nationals
No. 20Cincinnati Reds
No. 21Tampa Bay Rays
No. 22Cleveland Indians
No. 23Los Angeles Dodgers
No. 24Detroit Tigers
No. 25Pittsburgh Pirates
No. 26Oakland Athletics
No. 27Atlanta Braves
No. 28Boston Red Sox
No. 29St. Louis Cardinals
PickTeam (Compensatory Round)
No. 30Kansas City Royals* (Santana)
No. 31Cincinnati Reds (Choo)
No. 32Texas Rangers* (Cruz)
No. 33Cleveland Indians* (Jimenez)
No. 34Atlanta Braves (McCann)
No. 35Boston Red Sox (Ellsbury)
No. 36Miami Marlins z (Krook)
No. 37Boston Red Sox* (Drew)
No. 38St. Louis Cardinals (Beltran)
PickTeam (Competitive Balance Round A)
No. 39Colorado Rockies
No. 40Houston Astros x (Orioles)
No. 41Cleveland Indians
No. 42Miami Marlins
No. 43Kansas City Royals
No. 45Milwaukee Brewers

* Picks are contingent on player signing with another club

z Awarded for failure to sign a player from 2013 Draft

x Received via trade

Updated 2013 MLB Rule IV Draft Order (12/22/2013)

The 2014 draft order looks significantly different than it did when Koji Uehara stuck out Matt Carpenter to conclude the 2013 Major League Baseball season.  So far eight of the thirteen players who refused qualifying offers, and thus are tied to draft pick compensation, have signed a contract. Most recently Shin-Soo Choo officially agreed to terms with the Texas Rangers on a seven-year deal. As a consolation prize, the Reds will receive a compensatory draft pick following Round No.1. The Cardinals, Red Sox, and Braves have also been awarded additional draft picks. The Rangers joined the Yankees as just the second club willing to sacrifice their No. 1 pick in order to sign a free agent.

It is important to note that the 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement altered the rules  of the draft pick compensation system. Teams no longer receive a pick from the other club that signed their player, but instead just receive a pick after the conclusion of Round No. 1. A team that signs a player that requires compensations will be forced to yield their first unprotected pick, even if that is another compensation pick that they may have received. If you need to freshen up on the system, you can read about it here.

Their are five player currently on the market who are tied to compensation: Kendrys Morales, Nelson Cruz, Ubaldo Jimenez, Stephen Drew, and Ervin Santana. All of their respective teams could potentially receive a compensatory pick after the conclusion of Round No. 1 with the exception of the Mariners, who will definitely be forced to forfeit their first unprotected pick because they signed Robinson Cano. Since the No. 6 overall pick is protected, this will either be their pick in Round No.2 if they retain Morales, or their compensation pick if he goes elsewhere. The order above reflects a scenario that is contingent with these remaining players signing a contract with a new team. The order is certainly not set in stone, and the draft landscape should continue to evolve in the coming months.

Heading into the free agency period, both the Red Sox and Yankees were each in position to potentially collect three compensation picks. The two clubs took completely different approaches. The Yankees signed Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran, and Jacoby Ellsbury and brought back Hiroki Kuroda. In exchange for this tremendous influx of talent, they consequentially lost their No. 1 pick as well as the compensation picks they received for Robinson Cano and Curtis Granderson. In contrast, Boston has placed a higher emphasis on retaining these picks. Although they did resign first baseman Mike Napoli, they refrained from signing any other free agents tied to compensation. They currently stand to receive two compensation picks to go with their No. 1 pick, giving them three picks before the Competitive Balance Round.  If they chose to bring back Stephen Drew, which seems unlikely given their recent acquisition of Jonathan Herrera, they would lose one of those picks. With that said, Drew’s market appears to have soured lately, and they might be able to reach a bargain with him that is too tempting to pass up.

Interestingly, this system appears to favor teams that are presently successful. The three top teams in baseball last year have all received an extra draft pick. A Reds team that won 90 games last year also added a pick. In all, the four teams that currently possess a compensation pick had a combined winning percentage of .586. Meanwhile, teams that missed out on the playoffs, like the Mariners and Yankees, have been forced to forfeit picks as a result of their rebuilding efforts. Whether this is intentional or merely a coincidence, it does seem counter-intuitive.

Teams that are fortunate enough to receive these additional picks will find them extremely benevolent come June. This draft is especially loaded in high school arms, and traditionally players of that variety tend to fly off the board during this part of the draft. Additionally, with the new the new CBA more picks equals more money to play with. Additional bonus money can allow teams to be more flexible with their draft approach. Even if a team doesn’t love a particular player available at the compensation pick they might have received, they can reallocate that bonus money to somewhere else in the draft where they may have to go over slot to get a guy.

Clearly this system has had a profound effect on the market. All of though top guys are pretty much off the market, while clubs seam more hesitant about the lower tier free agents, i.e. Morales, Drew, and Jimenez a deal. It is likely that these players might have to wait until much later in the winter, possibly even until the beginning of Spring Training until a team caves in. After all, this is what happened to players like Kyle Lohse and Michael Bourn last offseason. It has even been suggested that players like Drew might be better of waiting until after the draft to sign a contract, thus avoiding the compensation attached to them. While this is probably unlikely, it speaks to volume of importance that draft pick compensation plays in affecting a player’s value.

Written by Rob Balboni

Rob is native of Marion, Ma and got his start writing for The Log and Minor League Radar. He joined the Prospect Insider team in 2013 to cover the MLB as well the Rule IV draft. Besides writing about baseball, his passions include surfing, music, and watching other sports.

twitter Updated MLB Draft Order (1/4/2014)

22 comments on “Updated MLB Draft Order (1/4/2014)

  1. Edman says:

    rjfrik, thanks for the clarification. I knew that the rules changed with the CBA, but wasn’t exactly sure how it worked.

  2. rjfrik says:

    Morales isn’t coming back here. That ship has sailed.

  3. rjfrik says:

    Our forfeited draft pick (compensation round) will not “go to the Yankees”. We will just lose the draft pick, that is the price for signing Cano (well worth it by the way). The Yankees, in turn, would receive their own compensation pick for losing Cano, but they would not gain our pick.

    I the old CB Agreement, the team that signed a type A free agent would forfeit their pick to the team of the player. The team that lost that type A player would obtain that pick AND a compensation round pick. That is how the Angels, grabbed Mike Trout a few years ago and why you would see teams with multiple 1st round picks before the compensation round.

  4. JerryEK says:

    Where would he play?

    There just isn’t room for him on the roster with Ackley, Saunders, and Guti getting time in the OF, Morrison and Hart getting time at OF/1B/DH and Smoak playing 1B/DH. That’s six players for five positions without even considering Almonte. Morales would be a terrible person to add to that mix, because he can only play 1B/DH. With so many defensively limited players and several guys with trouble staying healthy, adding a DH is a bad idea. Unless they deal one of Smoak or Morrison, he just doesn’t fit.

  5. Edman says:

    Even if so, Seattle would retain its second round pick, which would have gone to the Yankees. I don’t know the specifics of how it works, but if signing Morales brings a draft pick, it still benefits the Marners. It’s a matter of degrees.

  6. mgvernon says:

    They might resign Morales, who would be a handy bat to have around, and then trade him at the deadline for something they need. I don’t believe they can do sign-and-trade deals now in baseball, but I could be wrong, there’s always a first time. I just hope they don’t spend on Cruz as they are sure to lose.

  7. Paul Martin says:

    So all those people that say we should not resign Morales and take the draft pick don’t know what they are talking about…that draft pick will just go to the damn Yankees.

  8. Rob Balboni says:

    Unfortunately they have to give up their highest unprotected pick. Their No.1 pick is protected because it is in the top 10. If they receive a compensation pick however, that would be unprotected and they would have to sacrifice that. If they resign Morales, then they would forfeit their second rounder. So no matter what, they will not have a compensation pick.

  9. Paul Martin says:

    If Seattle gets a 1st round pick when another team signs Morales, will they have to surrender that pick to the Yankees for signing Cano? Or will they only have to give up their 2nd round pick regardless of the draft compensation they get when Morales signs elsewhere?

  10. JerryEK says:

    It would be tough to get past the players union, but I’d rather see a system like football or basketball: clearly defined salaries for drafted players and a salary cap that impacts more than the top two teams. Those systems aren’t perfect, but they are better at leveling the playing field. Good teams should be good because they excel at scouting, player development, and coaching, not because they have a lot of cash.

    Abolishing the draft is a TERRIBLE idea. The function of he draft is to give the worst teams an advantage in getting the best talent. Money shouldn’t be a factor in where players go. Baseball is the only pro sport where the word “signability” is involved in the draft, and that’s a bad thing. Abolishing the draft just puts money into a more central position. That’s counterproductive. Even if there was a strict bonus pool based on record, it would make peripheral bullshit like lobbying and recruiting a central part of the draft. Who wants that?

    Additionally, draft picks should be tradable. Everyone likes trades, and draft picks are great trade commodities. Let teams do what they want with them.

    Basically, I’d like to see a system more like the NFL. Remove money from the equation as much as possible.

  11. davelee99 says:

    Agreed.

    And the player’s union would fight tooth and nail against s salary cap.

  12. nighthawk180 says:

    Desirability does have something to do with sign a player in a FA market but you are right its not a ton. Most of the time the player will go towards the most money like you said. I dont like the newer rules in the draft either but I get why they did to an extent. Under the old system teams like boston exploited the draft by drafting players that would fall due to their demands and would get them in later rounds simply because they had the money to do so. A salary cap sort of curbs that a bit. Having said that, in the system you have stated the player has all the leverage entirely. The team is at the mercy of the player and the current system is all the power is essentially on the team. Both ways have problems but to come to a complete best case scenario for both most likely never happen.

    By the way I didnt realize you were the author of the article earlier and wanted to say it was a great read. The conversation we have had was something I havent thought about in a long time. The book you mentioned sounds like a great read and might have to pick it up. Would like to hear some stories of how things worked back then. My great grandfather Roy Chesterfield rode the bench with the yankees back in 1927 as a relief pitcher never playing in a game but the stories past down are priceless.

  13. Edman says:

    The only way to control spending would be to have a salary cap set the same for each team. That will never happen, so the system will always suck, because the teams that have money, will want to make sure there is a way for them to spend it, even if it results in a tax. So, it’s going to be years of frustration as the ownership groups and agents work in their own best interests, instead of the best interests of the game.

    To expect it to ever be a fair system requires an extreme belief system that assumes fairness is a factor.

  14. Rob Balboni says:

    That point is extremely valid. I totally get what you are saying, I guess I just put less emphasis on the the desirability factor. I think players will generally sign with the team that offers them the most money.

    Although this system isn’t perfect, I do think their are ways to make it work. It is basically in place in Latin America, and bad teams ( i.e. Cubs) have benefited the most from it. If should just offer teams more flexibility to target the guys they like the best. I think a team like the Mariners would stand to benefit from this system. Next year for example, they could get involved in the Carlos Rodon sweepstakes. It might hurt the very worst team in baseball if their is a slam dunk No.1 guy, but it I think all of the other 29 clubs would benefit. Rany explains it better than I do though. I just think this new system is awful and this proposition isn’t probably anything that will ever happen. Plus I am currently reading Dollar Sign on the Muscle right now, and the stories about the days before the draft are awesome.

  15. nighthawk180 says:

    I didnt really explain myself well enough the first post but what is stopping other teams from signing those players you want in your scenario? Yeah the money isnt the problem its how are you going to get “your players” if you are not desirable place to play? The reason the draft was put in place is for every team to have a shot at getting good players “evenly”. The old system you are talking about was not fair in the slightest which is why the draft was put in place to begin with. Even with the salary cap and the newer rules it will still be the same, its a free market.

    The changes such as the comp picks and competitive balance picks were not part of the original draft concept. Think of it like the old japanese posting system only 1 team could talk to that player once they won the rights to talk to them. In your scenario its like the new system where any team can talk to any player and get them if they want only with a salary cap. I guess what Im trying to say is that money is only one side the puzzle it takes two to tango and the player has to want to take your money in the first place. Limiting that player to only one team by the draft gives the team drafting said player the chance to get him and no other team can get him.

    Another point what if a team like the mariners suck for a decade and dont get any players worth giving draft pick comp for extra money for their draft pool. They only have what the normal draft pool would be for that team but no guarantee that they can get anyone worth the money. Say just like your example 22 players for $500,000 and all fail and they continue to suck for the next decade same cycle. Also spending more money on a player doesnt guarantee a superstar either but has a better chance of becoming something or he wouldnt be able to get the money in the first place (common sense there). How will someone be able to turn their team around? Granted that is an extreme exaggeration and probably never happen but still do you see where Im coming from there ?

    The last question I have for you is do you think the major league FA is fair ? If so put a salary cap on it and you have your new draft idea in place. That is how I see that idea. Not saying it couldnt work but I cant see the upside in it. Sorry for the longer post. I had to try to explain it better.

  16. ripperlv says:

    Yeah that article by Rany makes sense.

  17. Rob Balboni says:

    The Bonuses would be the same as they are for the draft now. In theory, The Astros would have like 11 million to spend and the team with the best record would have like 6 million. The Astros could spend the money however they choose. If they wanted to sign 22 players for 500,000 they could do that. If they wanted to sign the best player for $7 m then he could do that. They would essentially have the same advantage that they do now, just more flexibility.

  18. nighthawk180 says:

    So you want a capped free agent system instead of the draft. How would that be fair for the teams that are not any good? How are they suppose to sign the better players in the “free agency”? What would make the players want to sign with them ? While this current system for everyone is still a bit of a mess it gives the teams with the worst records the best chance for a better future while drafting high. Im not really talking about the in between first and second round picks but normal. Now that doesnt solve anything with the attrition rate of prospects and the whole uncertainty thing but the way you suggested wouldnt help anyone but the better teams. Expecting a normal high draft pick say to sign with the Astro’s last year under your idea would be futile at best. I cant see how you can be for a free agency period in replace for the draft and consider it more fair for all.

    The competitive balance picks are what is messed up in the drafts. For instance look at Morales and to a smaller extent Cruz in this years FA. Each player is attached to a draft pick comp if signed to a team other than the team they come from. This isnt helping the players at all its hurting their market significantly.

    The third to last paragraph from the reading pretty much fills in the rest of what im saying. I dont think its perfect but I see a “free agency period” instead of a draft would be a bigger mistake then the current setup.

  19. Rob Balboni says:

    I think that all of the draft changes under last CBA are a joke. Having the Bonus Pools and the draft are basically a double negative and don’t work that well together. They need to choose to go one way or another. In other words, they should just abolish the draft and keep the bonus pools or go back to the old system. I am a proponent of the former, and Rany Jazayerli wrote a really good article about that for Grantland a while back. That system would appear to benefit the players, the league, owners, and scouts. Players would get to choose their team, Bonuses would still be limited, teams would have more flexibility, and competitive balance would still be enforced.

  20. JerryEK says:

    The current compensation system is a joke. They just need to do away with it.

  21. Rob Balboni says:

    Not really, down on the Cape a little but there are some waves down in RI (Narraganset). Also some up in Maine.

  22. ripperlv says:

    Interesting Rob, the Red Sox are either lucky or crafty, I’m thinking crafty. BTW, does MA even have any waves?

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