When the season began the 2008 Prospect Insider Handbook revealed PI’s Top 10 prospects in the Seattle Mariners farm system.
But, as always, things change, and sometimes in a hurry. Players graduate to the big leagues and exhaust their status, further prove that they can or cannot do something in particular, make progress or even take a step back.
Which means the top 10 changes, too.
It’s mid-season and time to update those changes.
| Pre-Season Top 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
| RK | PLAYER, POS. |
COMMENT | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Carlos Triunfel, SS | M’s would like to see a little bit more power in 2008 |
|||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Jeff Clement, C |
Likely to spend most of the season in big leagues |
|||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Wladimir Balentien, RF |
Should see time in big leagues to show off big league power |
|||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Phillippe Aumont, RHP |
Power arsenal could allow right-hander to move quickly |
|||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Michael Saunders, LF | Polished approach at the plate could propel Victoria native |
|||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Matt Tuiasosopo, 3B |
May struggle early, but ready for the Triple-A challenge |
|||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Juan Ramirez, RHP |
Ramirez shines with plus fastball and improving breaking ball | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Adam Moore, C |
Breathing down Clement’s neck as top catcher in system |
|||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Mark Lowe, RHP |
If healthy, Lowe could be mainstay in M’s bullpen | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Mario Martinez, IF |
Raw, but gifted, and more physical than Triunfel |
|||||||||||||||||
Since the season began, Clement, Lowe and Balentien have exhausted their eligibility as rookies and prospects, so both are eliminated from mid-season contention, and Triunfel has struggled, both on and off the field.
Saunders has maintained his status, and two that landed in the 11-20 range have made strong cases for the top 10 in center fielder Greg Halman, whom I was beginning to sour on in April, and second baseman Luis Valbuena, who was promoted to Triple-A Tacoma this week.
Triunfel’s issues are still centered around experience at this stage, and the lack of power isn’t as much of a concern for me as it is for others. He’s been hurt a little, got sick, was suspended, and all of that forged some inconsistent playing time.
The second half of the year is enormous for Triunfel’s development. It’s very important that 2008 does not become anything resembling a lost season for him.
Halman has begun to show a better approach at the plate, but will be challenged in Double-A West Tenn. Pitchers throw more strikes with better stuff, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio must improve. He’ll hit for power there, and already has three bombs, but his average and on-base percentage are the rate stats to watch.
Valbuena has been steady all season and it was a perfect time to see if he has a big-league future. He can play second base, and if his offense translates, he may seriously push Jose Lopez in a year or two, or at least give the Mariners another option.
Saunders just keeps on trucking, doing exactly the same things in Tacoma that he did in High Desert during the first half of last season. He’s just 21 and is still learning, so his timetable for a legit shot to stick in the big leagues is probably in one-year range from now. But he may get a cup of coffee this September, or sooner should roster moves or injuries dictate.
At present, his ceiling probably sits somewhere in the .280/.350/.450 range with 30+ doubles and 15 home runs or so, but he has time to shorten his swing even further and develop more consistency in getting the proper backspin, which could turn some of those doubles into home runs.
Matt Tuiasosopo has indeed struggled early, but is tearing it up in June, hitting
all five of his home runs this month as he posts a .986 June OPS through Saturday’s game. Tui is probably still better off in right field, though he’s athletically capable at third. He just doesn’t have the hands for third, I think.
Adam Moore may have helped himself more than any prospect that began the year in the top 10, proving that his 2007 in the Cal League was far from a fluke.
Through Saturday, Moore, a better defensive catcher than Clement, Moore is hitting .327 since the end of April, with a .390 OBP and a .513 slugging percentage. That’s an above-average all-around catcher.
Moore hits lefties and righties fairly equally, too, and continues to shore up his catching skills. He’s an above-average receiver with average or better throwing accuracy and slightly above-average arm strength.
If Moore is challenged with a Triple-A call-up later this season and succeeds, he’s likely to become hot trade bait this winter.
Ramirez and Aumont have done what was expected of them, and both are on track to pitch in High-A to start 2009, at least if the M’s jump to the Florida State League, as has been rumored.
If the club remains in High Desert, or another affiliate with a bandbox park in the Cal League, the M’s could think twice about sending any of their top arms to the Advanced-A level next year.
| Mid-Season Top 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
| RK | PLAYER, POS. |
COMMENT | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Carlos Triunfel, SS | Still has the most upside in the system |
|||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Adam Moore, C |
I’m impressed every time I check in on Moore | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Phillippe Aumont, RHP |
Not on the Chris Tillman fast track; still a risk | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Michael Saunders, LF |
The shorter the swing, the fewer the Ks, more power | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Juan Ramirez, RHP |
Could move quicker than Aumont due to better breaking ball | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Josh Fields, RHP |
Sure to sign and a quick study, but his debut may wait for ‘09 |
|||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Matt Tuiasosopo, 3B |
Starting to show developed skills, including power to all fields | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Greg Halman, CF |
Even marginally better contact rates makes him a big leaguer | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Luis Valbuena, 2B | A strong showing in Tacoma cements his status | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Mario Martinez, IF |
Has a chance to burst onto scene with above-average pop | |||||||||||||||||
Photo of Carlos Triunfel by Mike Andruski





