Mike is a former… a lot of things, really. He’s currently with an NL club after two decades split between an AL East team and an NL East team. He’s pretty much had his hand in on everything, so this should be fun.
PIMike: That is really the way the league office wanted it. teams did what the comissioner’s office asked them to do. I don’t see any need to make
changes to the signing process. other changes are always being talked about though.
It’s not a glam gig.
You get to see what the hitter sees.
equipment, training (like actually having training facilities) and etc… of these countries?
Dominican. I was in
Tod asks: What positions will the 2008 draft be deepest in?
Alvarez is special and Smoak, well, I’d have taken him No. 1 last year
Having a plus breaking ball can log more strikeouts but if I was building a pitcher, I’d magically give him a fb-ch combo to start with. Lots easier to teach a curve or slider.
on plate discipline) or is it more…random? (With the Ms, it seems very…random)
PIMike: Good question, I saw him for about four games before his finger injury and back in May I think. I like him. I think he can play everyday, and maybe as early as right now. Trades are difficult, though. The market is going to dictate.
01vdubs: You mentioned before that you were excited about Triunfel. What do you think his ceiling is in terms of offensive production? And when do you think he’ll rech the bigs?
As far as 30 homers - in his prime, I can see .260, 25 hr with a good obp.
Bretticus: So maybe Jorge Posada (This crazy year aside) would be a good comp for Clement? With a little less batting average, of course.
the immediate help in the June draft. it takes time to build it right, and it’s an ongoing process. You can’t ever sit back and watch it grow, you have to go find another top prospect. every day.
So why not avoid making three outs as best you can? Teams don’t do that enough.
— Bretticus, Mike added this in an email later last night. Says he thinks he forgot to answer it in the midst of the chat and it’s fuss. –
PIMike: They have done things in a very odd manner, I must say. But I like Bill, and Bob does a great job as always. It appears to me that they just aren’t willing to take a purposeful step back in order to take a much larger and more permanent step forward, and sometimes that is necessary. They needed to rebuild. A total rebuild. And they didn’t, and continue the patchwork in a lot of areas.
They still could have gone about things a little bit more intelligently, and I think this year is an aberration. Without major upgrades, they may struggle to win 80 games in ‘08. And Jason tells me Bavasi has pretty much already been extended, so… good luck.
Because coaching varies from level to level, essentially changing focus too much. Thoughts?
PIMike: That’s a tough comparison because Brown was such a dominant ground ball pitcher. I haven’t seen Aumont or spoken to those who have worked with him, so I don’t have a good feel for what the future of his own sinker may be.
Ramirez is a lot like BJ Upton. Get him into center as soon as possible.
What’s your take on when to bench the vet, play the kid.
Garcia may miss half of 2008.
Thanks to all of you who wrote in and joined us in the chat. Mike was awesome and has agreed to re-join us again this winter when he has more time. I’m currently bugging him about joining us from the Winter Meetings.
Send Kudos to Prospect Insider for this Report!


Jason, did Mike ever share with you any specific hitters he thought were attainable, or should be sought by the M’s?
And how’s about Mike Morse and HorRam for Garland? ;-)
It’d take Jones to get Garland.
Not that it’s worth it, but that’s what the Sox need and wouldn’t do it for Wlad.
Dammit, you didn’t bite!!!
I was thinking the question with Mike was going to spark a “Jr” comment.
BTW, what’s going on with Lowe?
Lowe has been shut down for the year.
Is that a precaution or a worry?
He was still feeling some discomfort as late as September 4. Precautionary.
I thought I read somewhere that Lowe was going to have surgery again, just minor, to remove some bone chips or something…
Nah, they did that already last spring, a few months after the serious surgery he had done.
The latest MRIs showed the elbow looked really good. The Doctors were happy.
Here, this is where I read he might have to have surgery again: Campillo arrives, Lowe shut down - from TNT 9/8
It says:
“Medical exams indicate Lowe has bone spurs in the elbow, and he’ll try to throw again late this month or in early October.
“It’s a minor setback and we’re playing it safe,” Lowe said. “It might quiet down on it’s own after a month, they might have to go in. I’ll play catch and if that’s OK, I might even get a bullpen session in during Instructional League in October.
“If so, I’ll do that and then shut it down until spring training. If not, they’ll probably try the surgery.””
He isn’t set for any surgery, though.
Jason,
What Mike was saying about needing professional hitters is why Vidro has been so important to our offense. He’s the only guy who works counts, takes walks, moves guys over, shows patience, puts pressure on the pitcher to throw him a stike. I totally agree with him that almost everyone else is a free swinger, including Ichiro. There’s hardly a guy on the team you HAVE to throw strikes. In my view, that flaw is what makes this team so streaky and “all or nothing.” To top it off, Vidro can’t play defense and has no speed and no power, which means every hitter on our team has some major issue. And that’s saying nothing about our mediocre starting rotation! I think Mike is right, this year is a fluke, and unless we make some major moves, we will be in trouble in ‘08. And since I don’t see Bavasi as “getting it,” I think we may be in trouble. Your own thoughts?
I think you contradicted yourself a little bit Rick.
Bavasi went out and overpaid for Vidro in every way. Maybe he does get it.
Who cares if a hitter can’t field or run. Vidro was brought here to DH. Not play 2B. Don’t blame Bavasi because McLaren played him in the field.
But Vidro is the ONLY hitter in the M’s lineup with a really good approach to hitting. Ibanez is close, and what Ichiro does works for him, of course.
Maybe Bavasi saw Vidro as a good example for the young kids who aren’t yet what they are going to be, while providing the lineup with something they lacked.
And he’s done that, albeit at a price that didn’t really fit, to be kind about it.
Lopez, Betancourt, Sexson, Ichiro, Beltre… they get themselves out.
Vidro really doesn’t. The club needs more of that.
I don’t think Vidro’s presence here is any indication of whether Bavasi “gets it” or not.
What I’d like to see is a winter of movesmade without the manager, hitting coach or other players in mind. Just add the best players you can. Don’t ask the manager, don’t ask other players, don’t ask Howie and Chuck.
But Mike (scout) wasn’t talking about free swingers - he was saying Seattle overly focused on sluggers (think slugging percentage) as opposed to hitters (batting average not a good measure, but neither is on base percentage a pure measure as that would include plate discipline which we don’t actively develop or target for acquisition).
Yeah, we need some power. But we also need to have singles hitters and guys whose pride isn’t such that you can’t ask them to bunt the runner over. We’re unbalanced offensively in so many ways it’s scary.
Many sluggers are sluggers, oly, because they aren’t patient. That’s the difference between a slugger and a good overall hitter - consistenct contact and walks.
Sexson = slugger because he swings and misses a lot.
Beltre = slugger because he doesn’t work the count and draw many walks.
There are varying degrees, but nobody in their right mind is going to try and convince you that, say, Albert Pujols is a slugger.
The M’s need hitters that get on base more and limit the Ks. Too many of the same type make for an easy night for starting pitchers.
Agreed on the hitter/slugger distinction with regard to consistent contact…but I think Mike was saying more in the chat transcript in that he also referred to Ms focus on HRs and RBIs.
I think the Ms pay too much attention to power, and not enough to contact or on-base percentage. To some degree, I think they do it with pitchers also (too much attention on power, not enough on finesse).
Any aspect of the game, one could just muscle through (speed often makes up for bad routes to the ball in the outfield, for example) or one can think their way to success (Moyer has okay ’stuff’ but his success is probably due more to his intensive preparation and understanding of how to ‘play’ the batters he faces), or, best of both worlds, one has both the muscle and the brain working together.
I can assure you, Mike was being very general. HR and RBI = sluggers. Without the presence of OBP or at least .300 averages, it’s a slugger.
Mike and I have talked for hundreds of hours about this sort of thing.
And agreed on making it easy on pitchers.
I was watching the Yankees-Sox game this afternoon. 3rd inning, Wang was fine and had 2 outs on the Sox - until the Sox hitters decided they weren’t going to swing. They didn’t swing for 16 straight pitches and he walked several batters (though he threw a few called strikes). Varitek went up swinging and the Sox ended up empty-handed for the inning.
But I found myself wondering when the last time the Ms had several batters in a row in the lineup that would have the patience to not swing.
2002-2003 maybe?
2004 maybe, but they couldn’t do much with the pitch when they did swing, so…
Jason, why is AJ being sent to winter ball? Seems rather pointless given what he has accomplished at the minor league level… Why are they messing with this kid.. It’s bad enough he’s not an everyday player, when he’s clearly ready..
Not to mention we gotta hear these annoying quotes from McLaren everyday about how he’s learning by watching.. and how the other players talk to him, and then tell him to sit down and keep quiet and he’ll be okay..
I’m not sure they have decided that Jones is going to winter ball, but the main purpose would be for him to play left field. He rarely played left in the minors, 80% center, and some right.
And getting more AB is never a bad thing.
Just seems odd for a top prospect like Jones who basically is gonna be a regular next year.. unless the M’s blow it again.. to play winter ball..
If it’s for defense than okay.. but the article focused on getting him 100 ABs.. I just think the risk of something happening to him injury wise or just sending him to an unstable country like that isnt worth the 100 ABs
Not a big deal, blowgun.
Jason,
What are your thoughts on Jimerson? Is he good enough to be a 4th of at the MLB level?
Yeah.
So is anyone as concerned as me with what bill bavasi is going to do, or not do over the winter? I’m starting to be very concerned that unless bill pulls some magical rabbits out of his hat, next years team may make a return trip to the bottom half of the standings in the AL west. I am so starved for a playoff run, that i’m about to rip my hair out. I’m looking at the potential free agents, and unfortunately not seeing alot that can help the m’s get to the next level. Someone please tell me i am over reacting, though sadly i don’t think i am.
I doubt Bavasi is done with his love affair for crappy veteran arms, and the cupboard is bare if you’re looking for major-league ready arms in the minors. Yeah, I’m worried too. The offseason should be clearly labeled “not safe for children under 10 or general managers with the initials BB.”
I don’t know how you can really foresee this off season being that bad. Besides two spots in the rotation, and maybe one in the bullpen, there aren’t any openings to screw up. Maybe he’ll pay to much of Richie’s contract, and get a crap-spect in return, but other than that. As far as the two starters go, Horacio and Weaver have been two of the worst starters in all of baseball this year. Bill could make two god awful transactions to fill these spots and still significantly upgrade them.
Jason - Apparenlty Buster Olney was on KJR today and mentioned that LaRussa’s first choice if he leaves St.L. might be Seattle.
That would certainly be the big splash Bavasi and Lincoln are looking for, no?
I sure hope Seattle is his destination, if for one reason alone…..Dave Duncan comes with him. There isn’t a better pitching coach in the game.
Geez I hate the “poor us” speculation. Everyone loves to mention the failed deals, but never give Bavasi credit for Bautista, Broussard, Guillen, Burke, Beltre and Vidro.
No, he hasn’t had a stellar success record, but he hasn’t been the worst GM in the game.
So, this “fear” of him making bad deals in the off-season isn’t justified. It’s a case of “feeling sorry” because some can’t see anything good ever happening.
He’s got to get two starters, that’s a fact. Likely, the fifth spot in the rotation will be filled from within. I doubt Bavasi will venture down the Weaver road again. They have enough bats to cover leftfield and firstbase next year, even if Sexson’s gone. Jones will probably get most the playing time in LF. Vidro, Ibanez and Broussard can split time between DH and firstbase.
The biggest question will probably be about RF. Personally, I’d like to see them extend Guillen for another two years, with an option on year three. There aren’t a ton of mashers who’d be available to Seattle. It would be great to get a 40HR guy for that spot, but I don’t think that’s going to happen, both financially….and geographically. Seattle is a hard sell because it’s so remote.
Finishing the season out strong will help. It will give Bavasi a tool to use in negotiations, that they are on the rise. Fictional or not, players won’t see a declining team on paper.
Personally im not afraid that bavasi is going to make a bad move, im afraid that he isn’t going to be able to make a move that will significantly upgrade the starting rotation without shipping out either jones or tillman. The free agent starting pithcing market is bare at best, and the guys that will be available are not the 1, 2, 3 type that the m’s need to add to their rotation. It is getting excedingly harder and harder to get your hands on an impact arm, and to compound that problem, for the most part teams are unwilling to let those types of arms go, unless you are compenstating them with several blue chip type prospects. The only bright spot i cling to is the fact that there are 3 front of the rotation type arms being groomed in the minors.
edtrak- i agree with you about laRussa and duncan, and in bringing back guillen. The only way i don’t want him back, is if the m’s can reel in miguel cabrera, but i don’t see that happening.
I think Larussa, Duncan and Gm Walt Jocketty all end up in Cincy.
Are there any chances M’s go after Adam Dunn for a DH? Seems like a good fit for them. He does strike out a lot..but if Richie is gone, then it wont be like a big strikeout team.
It’ll take starting pitching to net Dunn, which is why many believe the Baltimore Orioles (Penn, Loewen, Cabrera) have the inside track due to available young starters.
I’m curious what your thoughts on Alexei Ramirez are. The info I’ve found so far is that he played 2nd base for Cuba in international competition, primarily plays SS and CF, Led Cuba in HR’s this year and is turning 26 in about a week. He hit .335 with a .574 slugging percentage including 20 HR this season for Pinar del Rio. He led the Cuban National Season in hits in ‘03 with the same team, but I can’t find the total number. Not sure about his height, weight, bats (saw him hit a HR RH on YouTube, Switch? probably not…) From what I have found it seems this is a player that could provide some flexibility if the M’s signed him instead of resigning Guillen for OF and Lopez doesn’t figure some things out this offseason.
Do you think Ramirez could be close enough to Major league ready?
Do you think he’d fit in best as a Corner OFer, CFer or SS and do you think he could be an everyday 2B?
Have you heard who are particularly interested in him?
First rule of thumb with Cuban players…..just like Japanese players…..Homerun power isn’t as good as it appears.
He’s probably a good prospect, but I never fall in love with power numbers. Morales was the “big masher” who has translated to average power, at best.
Dave Duncan would turn Morrow into a very good pitcher, and Felix into a 90’s Pedro with more groundball outs. But i agree with Jason, I think LaRussa and his ship will be docking in Cinci.
Ramirez is more of an established player than Morales, being 26 already. Morales was a prospect.
From what I can gather, those who have seen Ramirez at all see him as a .270 type hitter with the potential to hit 25 homers.
And probably not a guy that’ll play up the middle at all.
I don’t see a fit for Seattle. I’m sure they’d rather spend the money on a certain unsigned Latin prospect who can play up the middle.
Honestly, with those numbers, couldn’t Jimerson come close to the same kind of numbers?
Jimerson could hit 25 homers, sure. And he could swipe ya 20 bags, too.
But he’d probably post an OBP around .300 with Richie-esque strikeout totals.
At least he could be a cheaper option than Guillen for a Corner OF, providing similar numbers.
I meant that as a question and put a period instead of ‘?’.
Ramirez is not going to come cheap and he’s a risk.
Rather hand Guillen 3/27.
I bet its more like 3/33 or a tad more if we resign him.
BTW, who are some left handed power hitters that will be a free agent?
I wonder how much better this years team would have been with Soriano and Lincecum instead of Ramirez and Morrow?
not drafting lincecum hurts me. local guy who definitely has more upside than morrow.
if morrow doesn’t stick in the starting rotation ill be upset. he could make a good closer some day no doubt, but lincecum has legit ace possibilities.
Passing on lincecum is bad enough, but passing on both lincecum and andrew miller could prove to be a costly mistake. Don’t get me wrong, i like Morrow, and he has had dominant stretches this year, but the jury is still out on what his long term impact will be on the m’s. It will take him all the offseason, and at least half of next season in the minors, for him to be ready to join the rotation. He may end up being a schmidt/schilling clone, or he may spend the majority of his career in the bullpen. Plug Lincecum or miller in with felix, and we would have had a devastating young 1,2 punch for years to come, with tillman, butler, and aumont on the way. Just chew on that for a while… I’m tired of the shoulda’ coulda’s concerning lincecum and morrow though, so i’m going to shut up about it.
For the record, i want guillen back next year!!!
How can you say Lincecum has more upside that Morrow? Based on today? You draft for a career….not for who gets to a certain level first. Miller is a different story, because he doesn’t have the physical risks. But, Lincecum has to do what few slightly built power pitchers have done, historically…..stay healthy. Just like Moyer was unique for a soft-tosser, Lincecum will have to be unique for a slightly built power pitcher.
Morrow comes with his own risks, in regard to his diabetes. But, physically, he’s easier to project for longevity.
So, lets not jump to ANY conclusions about who was the better pick. It will take five years to have a enough data to project out ten years.
Too many want immediate returns. If you want to play the prospect game, you have to be patient. It isn’t an overnight thing.
i say lincecum has way more upside than morrow because lincecum’s stuff is far superior to morrow’s.
Far superior? I think not. Different, yes. At the moment, Lincecum has more command.
But again, you don’t draft for now, you draft for a career.
Lincecum has a better breaking pitch than Morrow does. That’s why I would say that Lincecum has at least slightly better stuff than Morrow.
Morrow has a better pitchers frame but guys with smaller frames can get it done. Roy Oswalt is an example. Pedro Martinez is another example.
far superior may be a stretch, but there’s no doubt that lincecum has better stuff. it’s not up for debate. ill let someone who knows more than me break down the two’s stuff if they feel like it.
drafting for a career doesn’t help morrow’s case any if that’s what you think. while he does have the chance to become a starting pitcher, it’s no guarantee at this point. id rather have the guy who could become a legit ace(lincecum) over the guy who could become just a closer (morrow).
I actually agree with Ed on this one, but I do admit I wish that they would have picked Lincecum last year. The fact is we do not know what kind of starting pitcher Morrow will be. His stuff is similar to pitchers like Schmidt and Schilling, who are both considered aces. During the recent Yankees game Al Kaline said that the only reason he belives Morrow has control problems is because he falls off to the first base side in his dilevary. I don;t know how right he is, but I respect his opinion. The fact is that right now Morrow has two or three very good pitches, in his fastball, split, and slider. If he can develop a good change or two seemer I don;t see any reason why he can’t be a legit ace. Lincecum has had a very good rookie year, but remember if we had drafted him he most likly would be working out of the pen this year like Morrow is, The giants didn’t bring him up to start until the season was well under way. He also is pitching in the NL in a very pitcher friendly park. Morrow is already close to having a starting repotiore, if he fixes some of his control issues I don’t see why he can’t be as good or better then Lincecum.
First time user here just wanted to toss in on the Lincecum/Morrow thing here.
It seems to me everybody agrees that they have similar stuff maybe Lincecum has a bit better. But if projecting long term for similar stuff I’ll take Morrow and his build as there are alot more pitchers with similar builds that have long careers and can hit 200 innings. Maybe Lincecum ends up another Pedro or Oswalt but there aren’t alot of examples of guys his size becomeing aces. If their stuff is relatively the same shouldn’t we like our chances that Morrows stays healthier and ends up our #2 behind Felix. Even if he is a healthy #3 I’ll be happy.
First time user here just wanted to toss in on the Lincecum/Morrow thing here.
It seems to me everybody agrees that they have similar stuff maybe Lincecum has a bit better. But if projecting long term for similar stuff I’ll take Morrow and his build as there are alot more pitchers with similar builds that have long careers and can hit 200 innings. Maybe Lincecum ends up another Pedro or Oswalt but there aren’t alot of examples of guys his size becoming aces. If their stuff is relatively the same shouldn’t we like our chances that Morrows stays healthier and ends up our #2 behind Felix. Even if he is a healthy #3 I’ll be happy.
I’d say Lincecum HAS SHOWN far superior stuff. Yes, FAR SUPERIOR. Not close.
mid-90s, heater, plus curve, average change.
All Morrow has SHOWN is a fastball, albeit the making of a plus-plus pitch.
Morrow has more in the cupboard, though, and we’ll see more of it in 2008.
It will be interesting to see how Lincecum holds up next year after throwing 200 innings and how Morrow looks after the 120-150 he will get depending on when he hits the bigs.
BTW Jason thanks for your insight as it’s been fun reading it even though I haven’t joined in until now.
I agree with dubs and Edtrak here, but this is an interesting debate and might continue to be that for the next two or three years. Though still Edtrak is correct in saying we may not truly be able to put a fair evaluation on it for another FIVE years. I can see scenarios where any one of the three turns out to be the best of that draft. In my limited viewing of the three young hurlers, heres what can I see:
Lincecum is clearly the most complete pitcher now. Hes got all the pitches. Sick curve, great action on his fastball, havent seen much of the change, but I hear its a good one. Very good command. And he moves the ball all over the zone with that two seamer, great to watch. Beyond that, he seems to be a quick learner, and to me, makeup is what separates very good and even great players, from the special ones. From what Ive read, Lincecums got that kind of mentality already.
Miller, in my mind, has got the most natural talent. His stuff, along with the easy left handed delivery, and the slender/strong frame. Not hard to see, he looks to be a real good one. I have no idea about his intelligence and makeup, but if hes close to where Lincecum is between the ears, he should be a perennial all star.
And then there is Morrow. To say that Morrows stuff isnt as good as the other two, I think is untrue. Like Edtrak says, DIFFERENT is much closer to accurate. True, the command of his secondary stuff is not where it is with Miller and espcially Lincicum, but that isnt really his fault either, considering it was the mariners decision to rush him up and stick him in the pen where he was asked to be affective and challenge these guys with his fastball. Seems like he doesnt trust enough in the other offerings quite yet. But let me say, when you see him throw that splitter, if its on, its every bit as unhittable as Lincecums curve. In fact, I like it better than the curve. Its a super out pitch and induces a lot of ground balls for double plays (that is if hitters can even make contact). I look at guys like Chin Ming Wang , Roy Halladay, and Brandon Webb all using that pitch. Its tough to put together a rally against those guys cause they make you hit everything on the ground. If Morrow can master his command of that pitch as well as the slider, I say look out, he’ll be every bit as good as Miller or Lincecum. The one thing I would like to see Morrow add however, would be a two seamer. His 97 mph fastball is awsome, but he needs to be able to take off some speed and mix it up with something with more movement. For how hard he throws the four seamer, guys have been sitting on that pitch in the second half of the season. This is one big advantage I see Lincecum having over Morrow, but then Morrows got the good frame for longevity.
I think we’ll just have to see what kind of stuff Morrow flashes next year to get a better idea of what we got (and what we pottentially missed out on). I dont think you can judge much what Morrow is going to look like as a starter next season, based on what we saw out of the pen this year.